But now, instead of Pot of Avarice being in Merchant Turbo, why not use Bait Doll? When you draw Bait Doll, if you go second, you have the option of using it right off the bat. And if you go first, normally, you set a searcher down for Magical Merchant.
So, what is the odd that you get Magical Merchant on the first draw, without being screwed by the Spell Card being drawn?
1 - (27/40)(26/39)(25/38)(24/37)(23/36)(22/35) = 92.3% probability
As for how it test plays, the first time I test played it, I got a Chain Link 12 performed and won that duel, and for the second time, it pulled a Chain Link 2, but thanks to 3 Volcanic Counters and a 6000 ATK Chaos Necromancer, I was able to pull out a win.